Who Did Get the Election Right: the Betting Markets
On Tuesday, a suite of gambling platforms predicted a Trump landslide. Polymarket, a crypto exchange and (by its own account) the world’s largest prediction market, projected that the 78-year-old led Kamala Harris by 38 points. Similarly, the sites Kalshi, Robinhood, PredictIt, and Interactive Brokers favored Trump by 50 to 60 percent.